Trump opens the door to attacks in Iowa
But will his rivals take advantage?
The Republican nomination fight in Iowa just got a lot more interesting.
Ron DeSantis and Tim Scott are ditching the kid gloves and taking on Donald Trump on the issue of abortion.
In an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press” program Sunday, Trump called Florida’s 6-week abortion ban a “terrible mistake.”
That opened the door to the Florida governor, who signed the bill, to attack Trump on an issue that has been foundational to GOP caucus-goers.
In an interview with Radio Iowa, DeSantis said:
“Donald Trump may think it’s terrible. I think protecting babies with heartbeats is noble and just and I’m proud to have signed the heartbeat bill in Florida and I know Iowa has similar legislation.”
DeSantis said he didn’t know how anybody with Trump’s position could even call himself prolife, and if the ex-president thinks he can make a deal with Democrats on the issue, then “pro-lifers should know that he’s preparing to sell you out.”
That’s tough language against someone that most Republican challengers, DeSantis included, have been tiptoeing around.
Tim Scott, who favors a federal 15-week abortion ban, also reacted to Trump’s interview.
“President Trump said he would negotiate with the Democrats and walk back away from what I believe where we need to be, which is a 15-week limit on the federal level,” Scott said Monday, according to an NBC News story. The South Carolina senator was campaigning in Iowa on Monday.
During the “Meet the Press” interview, Trump refused to answer when asked about a 15- week ban, which as the BBC reported, many anti-abortion groups consider a minimum position. Trump said both sides eventually will come together.
Trump has a huge lead in Iowa, according to polls, but if GOP caucus-goers vote on principle and don’t just reflexively back the guy who talks toughest about the other side, then this could put a dent in the ex-president’s lead here.
Iowa Republican caucus winners in the past have traditionally been people with strong anti-abortion credentials. Think Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee.
One of the reasons Trump has such a big lead is his rivals aren’t making much of a case for backing an alternative. Mostly, they just question whether he can beat President Joe Biden.
The abortion flap may prove to be an inflection point in the campaign, however.
Anti-abortion groups have roundly criticized Trump’s remarks, and the same Iowa Poll that showed Trump leading here also said 58% of likely GOP caucus-goers think Iowa’s new law banning most abortions after about six weeks is the right approach. Another 9% said the law imposes too few restrictions. Iowa’s law is similar to Florida’s.
We know that polls say that evangelicals in Iowa like Trump. But the former president seems to be taking these voters for granted. Trump’s choices for the US Supreme Court made this voting bloc happy. But the political ground has shifted since the court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, and Trump isn’t giving them much new to work with. He’s criticizing aggressive new abortion laws, while ducking questions about his own plans going forward. And while that may help with general election voters who are more supportive of abortion rights than Republicans, it’s not likely to be sufficient for Iowa GOP caucus-goers.
In addition to the waffling, Trump continues to give the cold shoulder to voters. He skipped the Iowa Faith and Freedom Coalition’s event in Iowa over the weekend. And he’s going to take a pass on the second Republican debate in California in favor of giving a speech in Detroit to striking union members who are fighting with American carmakers.
With such a big lead, Trump doesn’t seem to feel much pressure to engage, and Republican voters so far aren’t giving him much reason to do so. But that could change before the Jan. 15 caucuses.
The Trump campaign did say the ex-president will step up his efforts in Iowa through the end of October, and the campaign got some nice media coverage in recent days out of the announcement. But as I’ve seen it described, the stepped-up campaign isn’t all that impressive, at least insofar as Trump’s presence is concerned. According to Politico, Trump will make a half-dozen stops in the state through the end of October. That may be a more vigorous effort for Trump, but other campaigns do that many events in a week, or even a day.
Republican voters in Iowa have said they care more about someone who agrees with them on the issues than their ability to win a general election. We’ll have to wait and see if that turns out to be true. But if Trump’s rivals don’t continue to aggressively point out their differences with him on the abortion issue — not to mention his numerous failings in office — then we may never know.
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For some Republicans the abortion issue is the only issue that matters to them. The numbers I have seen say the majority of Republicans favor a women's right to choose. I don't think this issue will affect Trump winning the nomination. I do feel it's Trump's way of appealing to the "middle" for the general election but with the rest of his baggage I don't see him gaining ground while acting more reasonable. Let's not forget there was a time that Trump favored a women's right to choose and for political expediency he flipped his position. In any case if Trump where to get someone pregnant is there any doubt he would ask her to have an abortion. On the other hand, if he is convicted of any of the charges combined with the right to life followers dropping him, the two outcomes could cause the beginning of an avalanche.