I'm curious as to the rationale and probability of a successful campaign when a significant portion of the electorate have vowed, "I will never vote for (insert candidate)!" Does history reveal any other races where the candidate was successful?
Is it foregone conclusion that Iowa will get the caucus? After we messed things up in 2020–and considering how we have become overwhelmingly red—do we deserve it?
I see no sign the Republicans are going to change their nominating process. Of course, the Democrats are another story. The Democratic caucuses are on life support already, and I agree with others who have written the red wave in Iowa last week is likely to make the odds of retaining them even longer.
Both parties may well hold caucuses. I think the key question is this: Will the caucuses, in either party, play an early role in their respective presidential nominating process, as both have done for decades.
In the Republican Party, I see no signs they're going to change. But in the Democratic Party, it seems probable the party rules won't give Iowa that early role. (Having said that, you have to add the caveat: Don't count Iowa out until the Democratic Party rules are definitely set.)
I'm curious as to the rationale and probability of a successful campaign when a significant portion of the electorate have vowed, "I will never vote for (insert candidate)!" Does history reveal any other races where the candidate was successful?
Is it foregone conclusion that Iowa will get the caucus? After we messed things up in 2020–and considering how we have become overwhelmingly red—do we deserve it?
I see no sign the Republicans are going to change their nominating process. Of course, the Democrats are another story. The Democratic caucuses are on life support already, and I agree with others who have written the red wave in Iowa last week is likely to make the odds of retaining them even longer.
Is it possible for republicans to caucus and not the dems?*
* should Biden not run again
Both parties may well hold caucuses. I think the key question is this: Will the caucuses, in either party, play an early role in their respective presidential nominating process, as both have done for decades.
In the Republican Party, I see no signs they're going to change. But in the Democratic Party, it seems probable the party rules won't give Iowa that early role. (Having said that, you have to add the caveat: Don't count Iowa out until the Democratic Party rules are definitely set.)
I wondered also.